There are a few mechanisms here: 1) Parties usually course-correct after defeats and the GOP is doing the very opposite. It's not clear how well empirical precedents about mean-reversion during the midterms holds up under these conditions.https://twitter.com/jonathanchait/status/1398334174059282433 …
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Also, the most reliable midterm voters are higher education/suburban... if that shift holds beyond 2020...
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That feels right to me. Interesting choice for Trump. Does he clearly encourage his supporters to vote to help in a future repeat of trying to take the election, or does his ego want the republicans to fail when he's not on the ticket?
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I wondered this exact thing.https://twitter.com/joe_nca/status/1398338883784302595?s=20 …
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Here’s hoping
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