Technically there's a 1% chance of Mystery Outcome.
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Being an economist is so cool. You just say "p=" on the internet and everybody has to believe you.
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1%, aliens.
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You know, did it ever occur to him that, even if this wasn't just some imaginary BS he's been pushing forever, our plight was a potential depression so all of these options are an improvement?
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The probability that any object in the air is Superman is 1/3. Because it’s a bird or it’s a plane or it’s Superman!
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1% chance of invasion by mutant space dinos
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isn't the most common cause of stagflation a major exogenous supply shock? a 1 in 3 chance of a random new global crisis before the pandemic's even cooled off seems pretty bad and worth a headline in and of itself
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33% odds that he did.
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