There's some pessimism about 2022 but should factor in possible grounds for hope: 1) stimulus & pandemic end could create Biden boom 2) Dem coalition now has more college educated, who vote in mid-terms 3) without Trump on ticket, GOP culture war pitch could fizzle as in 2018.
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Senate prospects for the Dems?
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Relatively good. If we can hold Kelly, Warnock and Hassan, pickups in PA (open), WI (Johnson), and NC (open) could expand the lead. Then FL (Rubio), OH (open), IA (Grassley?) make the upside of the map great. GOP has to do great to pickup more than 3-4 (think there is a Nv up
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If they have second best midterms of the last 40 years, they will still lose the house and the senate. The question is whether they can get the trifecta back in 2024 due to the factors you mentioned. It’s a tough senate map though!
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This is what 2010 teaches us
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There are promising signs of Trump v GOP tensions, too. I'd be curious to hear your thoughts on that.
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What leads you to believe this? He just gave the headline speech at CPAC and was incredibly well received?
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We still dont know how this plays out if you have people on the ballot who act exactly like Trump for example
@govkristinoem . I think we are in for a proliferation of mini-Trumps.Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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Yep, great point. It is very difficult to see the energy being transferred to someone else. Never understood the energy T received, but it was there obviously.
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