GOP turnout driven by fact that Trump, via celebrity and persona, can reach marginal voters few other candidates can: hence huge surge of non-college voters.
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Replying to @MoshuaJoss
Wasn't that different 2020 than 2016 except larger pool of voters (because voting made easier during Covid): in both elections Trump drew in many non-college voters and alienated college voters who went to Dems.
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Replying to @HeerJeet
The base that doesn’t believe in mail-in voting? I don’t think this makes sense. You also still need a large driver for turnout among non-college whites and Latinos, which Is why I’m suggesting what I’m suggesting.pic.twitter.com/yqheaJrAgJ
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Replying to @MoshuaJoss
Voting turnout increased for all groups and in fact increased far more for anti-Trump voters than pro-Trump voters. It was a high-turnout election! But that also meant +8 Dem advantage of midterms turned to +4 Dem, which meant down ballot losses.
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Replying to @HeerJeet
I mean yes, Trump was very disliked among left, and center. The anti-trump turn out was a given. What I think wasn’t, was the turnout for trump and Republicans generally. There’s something else that drove it.
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Replying to @MoshuaJoss
Pro-Trump turnout was only surprising if you ignored evidence over last 4 years that he's very popular among GOP and GOP adjacent.
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Replying to @HeerJeet
And I’m suggesting that the GOP’s ability to paint Democrats as “extremists” or “socialists” or “pro-crime” is or was a large contributing factor as to why that is.
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Replying to @MoshuaJoss
No: GOP does that in every election ever. GOP has painted Dems as socialists from FDR to Obama and pro-d crime since 1968. Only distinction between Trump and earlier GOP candidates is he draws more from non-college & drives out college & is so polarizing that turnout increased.
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Replying to @HeerJeet
In the past you didn’t have Democrats actually associating with unpopular positions giving credence to the allegations i.e. “socialism” or “defund the police”.
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Wrong. In fact social welfare programs were always unpopular with large parts of the population and "defund the police" polls better now than "civil rights protests" did in 1963. Politics means fighting hard battles (except for centrist Dems who are lazy).
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Replying to @HeerJeet
They’re even less popular when you call them “socialism” re Bernie. And no, “defund the police” remains unpopular. The civil rights movement at least threw bone to Democrats in order to pass legislation.
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