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HeerJeet's profile
Jeet Heer
Jeet Heer
Jeet Heer
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@HeerJeet

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Jeet HeerVerified account

@HeerJeet

1. Writer, The Nation https://www.thenation.com/authors/jeet-heer/ … 2. email: jeetheer1967 at gmail dot com 3. Twitter essayist 4. Drawn by Joe Ollmann

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Joined June 2012

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    1. James Surowiecki‏Verified account @JamesSurowiecki 2 Dec 2020
      Replying to @JamesSurowiecki @ijbailey and

      I guess you can argue that GOP candidates who win in swing districts had no idea what message would resonate with voters, but that seems a little improbable.

      3 replies 0 retweets 1 like
    2. @ijbailey‏ @ijbailey 2 Dec 2020
      Replying to @JamesSurowiecki @HeerJeet @whstancil

      In 2018, we were told Dems in these swing districts won because they were moderate. In 2020, they were still moderate - but lost.

      2 replies 5 retweets 31 likes
    3. James Surowiecki‏Verified account @JamesSurowiecki 2 Dec 2020
      Replying to @ijbailey @HeerJeet @whstancil

      Yes, and what changed between 2018 and 2020 to make it harder for moderate Dems to win? Just look at GOP ads - socialism and defunding the police.

      20 replies 1 retweet 5 likes
    4. @ijbailey‏ @ijbailey 2 Dec 2020
      Replying to @JamesSurowiecki @HeerJeet @whstancil

      So the MS-13 and very scary caravans and socialism stuff didn't work in 2018 but did in November? I remember when McCain was labeling Obama socialist and a scary black dude palling around with terrorists. Yet he still won. Why?

      1 reply 0 retweets 26 likes
    5. James Surowiecki‏Verified account @JamesSurowiecki 2 Dec 2020
      Replying to @ijbailey @HeerJeet @whstancil

      Because those charges were false. That high-profile Dems advocated defunding the police was true.

      4 replies 0 retweets 8 likes
    6. @ijbailey‏ @ijbailey 2 Dec 2020
      Replying to @JamesSurowiecki @HeerJeet @whstancil

      Joe Biden was the highest of high-profile Dems, no? Did it hurt him?

      1 reply 0 retweets 7 likes
    7. James Surowiecki‏Verified account @JamesSurowiecki 2 Dec 2020
      Replying to @ijbailey @HeerJeet @whstancil

      He barely won in every swing state despite running against the most unpopular president since Jimmy Carter and despite the fact that Trump presided over a public-health debacle that’s killed more than 200k Americans.

      5 replies 0 retweets 1 like
    8. RiShawn Biddle‏ @dropoutnation 2 Dec 2020
      Replying to @JamesSurowiecki @ijbailey and

      That's a meaningless statement. In a highly polarized period that features rampant vote suppression by the GOP, Biden won several of those key states and flipped two (Arizona and Biden). All by higher margins than Trump's in 2016. So, really, James, try some other argument.

      1 reply 0 retweets 11 likes
    9. RiShawn Biddle‏ @dropoutnation 2 Dec 2020
      Replying to @dropoutnation @JamesSurowiecki and

      Biden's margin of 154,000 votes is greater than Trump's 10,704 in 2016. Biden's margin of 98,000 votes in Pennsylvania is greater than Trump's 44,292 in 2016. Really, what are you arguing here, James?

      1 reply 0 retweets 6 likes
    10. James Surowiecki‏Verified account @JamesSurowiecki 2 Dec 2020
      Replying to @dropoutnation @ijbailey and

      I’m arguing that Biden’s margin of victory in AZ, NV, WI, MI, and PA was far smaller than it should have been, given whom he was running against.

      4 replies 0 retweets 1 like
      Jeet Heer‏Verified account @HeerJeet 2 Dec 2020
      Replying to @JamesSurowiecki @dropoutnation and

      Really? There's no reason to think beating Trump would have been easy. Incumbent presidents are hard to beat. Trump's celebrity brings out many marginal voters. Fed Reserve easy money + generous stimulus helped him on economy. Covid led to rally behind leader with some voters.

      12:33 PM - 2 Dec 2020
      • 1 Retweet
      • 26 Likes
      • jeff Stefan Ragnarsson JD Adam D. Jameson Rachel Siegel Trevor Boyer Holger Syme tahfromslc Goth Ferenghi 🐛⚠️🏴
      2 replies 1 retweet 26 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. David J. DeVore‏ @devoretext 2 Dec 2020
          Replying to @HeerJeet @JamesSurowiecki and

          And the basis for thinking Trump unpopular was polling averages. But I think it’s fair to say that polls undercounted Trump support in 2020.

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        3. RiShawn Biddle‏ @dropoutnation 2 Dec 2020
          Replying to @devoretext @HeerJeet and

          I think the polls did perfectly fine in estimating Trump's support. That thing called 'margin of error' serves statistically to deal with unknowns such as what folks really feel about the incumbent.

          2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        4. Show replies
        1. New conversation
        2. Greg Sargent‏Verified account @ThePlumLineGS 2 Dec 2020
          Replying to @HeerJeet @JamesSurowiecki and

          Last time I'll bug you about this, I swear! But how can you possibly concede to these points, which are absolutely right, and *not* understand why this shows that it was crucial to win over moderate and suburban whites to ultimately prevail?

          2 replies 1 retweet 11 likes
        3. Jeet Heer‏Verified account @HeerJeet 2 Dec 2020
          Replying to @ThePlumLineGS @JamesSurowiecki and

          I think Biden followed one of the few plausible strategies that could have defeated Trump. There might have been other strategies, but Biden's worked. But it also came at a cost, as seen by down ballot results.

          2 replies 1 retweet 10 likes
        4. Show replies

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