I guess you can argue that GOP candidates who win in swing districts had no idea what message would resonate with voters, but that seems a little improbable.
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And the basis for thinking Trump unpopular was polling averages. But I think it’s fair to say that polls undercounted Trump support in 2020.
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I think the polls did perfectly fine in estimating Trump's support. That thing called 'margin of error' serves statistically to deal with unknowns such as what folks really feel about the incumbent.
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Last time I'll bug you about this, I swear! But how can you possibly concede to these points, which are absolutely right, and *not* understand why this shows that it was crucial to win over moderate and suburban whites to ultimately prevail?
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I think Biden followed one of the few plausible strategies that could have defeated Trump. There might have been other strategies, but Biden's worked. But it also came at a cost, as seen by down ballot results.
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