Gruesome but accurate.https://twitter.com/saletan/status/1330547294207414274 …
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Probably 1-2 million deaths due to hospital systems collapsing.
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Yes, because we’re not even trying to “flatten the curve” this time. This time, the curve will flatten us!
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The costs are going to immense.
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Yup, Trump has been horrific
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Something along those lines. Great news for the survivors.
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If the ratio of cases to deaths stayed the same, it would mean more than 2 million deaths. I expect that ratio will moderate because treatment has improved, but a million is a minimum if we don't lock down soon. And that's not considering overwhelming the medical system.
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No, most infections are not included in the case count. Probably around 15% of the population (50M people) have had it so far. Depending on what you think the "true" IFR is, it could be somewhat more or less, but that's in the ballpark.
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If you figure we run at 2k deaths a day for parts of dec-Jan and we’ll be around 400k by feb. Not a huge stretch to believe we could be at 750k by q3 when vaccination is widespread.
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@youyanggu estimates that around 15% of Americans have been infected so far. So if you double that, you'd get around 500k dead, though there are lots of compounding & mitigating variables.Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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