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HeerJeet's profile
Jeet Heer
Jeet Heer
Jeet Heer
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@HeerJeet

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Jeet HeerVerified account

@HeerJeet

1. Writer, The Nation https://www.thenation.com/authors/jeet-heer/ … 2. email: jeetheer1967 at gmail dot com 3. Twitter essayist 4. Drawn by Joe Ollmann

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Joined June 2012

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    1. Richard Yeselson‏ @yeselson 21 Nov 2020

      Richard Yeselson Retweeted Nate Cohn

      Fascinating maps. Basically Biden won decisively but yet very modestly: he teased out just enough suburban voters to > Trump’s enormous rural white increase (and this cycle, Latino increase) to match Obama’s 51% in 2012, but with a markedly different demographic composition.https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1330123373284876288 …

      Richard Yeselson added,

      Nate CohnVerified account @Nate_Cohn
      Biden now leads by 3.86 points nationwide, per @Redistrict popular vote tracker, matching Obama's 3.86 pt win in 2012. He'll exceed it soon. They won by similar amounts in very different ways. Here's the shift in presidential results between 2012 and 2020 pic.twitter.com/XjNsqOLfkd
      Show this thread
      2 replies 6 retweets 37 likes
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    2. Richard Yeselson‏ @yeselson 21 Nov 2020

      Important to underscore that the inner metro suburban vote in, eg Atlanta metro was multi-racial. But inner city urban, mostly Black vote, was flat. Biden made a few gains in rural white areas,, but mostly got swamped there. Suburbs won for him, if not for Dems at large.

      2 replies 3 retweets 15 likes
      Show this thread
      Jeet Heer‏Verified account @HeerJeet 21 Nov 2020
      Replying to @yeselson

      Chasing those suburban voters can give you a coalition to defeat Trump (in 2020 at least) but it doesn't mobilize POC or the young, and can in fact demobilize them (in 2016 at least).

      6:50 AM - 21 Nov 2020
      • 5 Likes
      • Chris Lay🌹 Rafael Хачатурян Al Simon Chris
      4 replies 0 retweets 5 likes
        1. Brian Goldstein‏ @bgoldst 21 Nov 2020
          Replying to @HeerJeet @yeselson

          That assumes that suburb =\= POC or young people, but that’s not necessarily true, especially in a place like Atlanta with extremely diverse suburbs. Would love to see that breakdown.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        2. Richard Yeselson‏ @yeselson 21 Nov 2020
          Replying to @HeerJeet

          The difference was that the horror of Trump’s actual presidency—not the prospect of it, but the terrible reality—motivated more anti Trunp voters than in ‘16.

          3 replies 1 retweet 2 likes
        3. Dan Davies‏ @dsquareddigest 21 Nov 2020
          Replying to @yeselson @HeerJeet

          As a long-term strategy, "horror"seems like it has bad general properties, but you can't exactly say it would be a strategic shift for the democrats

          0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
        4. End of conversation
        1. Chris‏ @wellnowhat2021 21 Nov 2020
          Replying to @HeerJeet @yeselson

          Not necessarily. All Dems have to do is *deliver. Impact > symbolic bills . 2020 didn’t work out as well for down ballot Dems because they didn’t deliver on anything, not even promised congressional oversight.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. James Moody‏ @GodlessLib_CB 21 Nov 2020
          Replying to @HeerJeet @yeselson

          18-29’s likely higher than in 2008 tho. But if you hit 53-55% turnout you still can’t compete with ~75-80% of the 65’s. If 18-29 can hit 60-65% that’s a game changer but no one knows how to do it (maybe it’s impossible).

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