This is a smart thread. I agree that the dominant fact is that Trump was at heart of election. Whatever misgivings one might have about Biden's strategy, he did construct one of the few possible coalitions that could defeat Trump.https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1327623039996006401 …
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One of the unknowns of the election, which we're going to need a lot more research to figure out, is how Covid played out. Trump's bungling hurt him but uncertainty of stimulus meant that many ordinary people were forced into "economy vs. covid" frame, which helped Trump.
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He campaigned as anti-system, but he was clearly pro-system in a lot of instances. Particularly GOP tax policy, status of the police, etc.
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I don’t think we are ever going to be able to separate Trump’s enduring appeal to that 47% and his decades of celebrity/dominance in media coverage.
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was he anti-system? because I expect I know a lot more Trump voters than you do and they thought he was preserving the system
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Even if he was, most of his voters are Republicans who had no choice, similar to anti system Democrats being forced to vote for a system candidate in biden/hillary. The real anti system number may be 50% but its split between the parties.
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I think the clearest answer here is that the Biden coalition represents far fewer counties but ~70% of the US economy. I don't blame rural voters in the US who have seen their regions collapse for being ready to scrap it all. Edward Luce's book on decline of western liberalism -
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Does an excellent job of discussing this as not just a US issue but more broadly a collapsing faith in "the system" across the rural areas of much of the democratic world. The opening is Trump's GOP only accelerates the forces crushing small town America.
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No, it would suggest there are people who go along with "anti-system" rhetoric because the "system" asks them to not hate nonwhite Christians. It's just the latest iteration of the oldest "immigrants are an existential threat to you" trick in the book. Sadly it's quite reliable
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Elite contempt for the less well off is what got us into this mess.
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Fundamental problem is that there are two factions in US politics: Trumpublicans, and Everyone Else. The former is effectively a monolith: whatever their media says Monday night is echoed Tuesday morning by everyone from think tankers to dittoheads.
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