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HeerJeet's profile
Jeet Heer
Jeet Heer
Jeet Heer
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@HeerJeet

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Jeet HeerVerified account

@HeerJeet

1. Writer, The Nation https://www.thenation.com/authors/jeet-heer/ … 2. email: jeetheer1967 at gmail dot com 3. Twitter essayist 4. Drawn by Joe Ollmann

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Joined June 2012

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    1. Jeet Heer‏Verified account @HeerJeet 9 Nov 2020

      Jeet Heer Retweeted Jacob T. Levy

      1. People are underestimating the size of Biden's victory for reasons mentioned in this useful thread: lots of votes left to count in blue states & also historic high turnout. Combined, it looks like a higher share of voters supported Biden than supported Reagan in 1984https://twitter.com/jtlevy/status/1324408585590329345 …

      Jeet Heer added,

      Jacob T. Levy @jtlevy
      vote share * turnout Reagan 1984: 53.3*58.8= 31.3% W Bush 2004: 50.7*56.7=28.7% Obama 2008: 52.9*58.2=30.8% Biden 2020, estimated: 51*66 = 33.7% counted so far: 50.5*60.3=30.4%
      Show this thread
      25 replies 299 retweets 1,130 likes
      Show this thread
    2. Jeet Heer‏Verified account @HeerJeet 9 Nov 2020

      2. 2020 election was double sided: a massive popular vote rejection of Trump combined with Dems' losing seats in House & falling short (so far!) in Senate. The two facts are connected: By building broad anti-Trump coalition, Biden undermined downballot Dems.

      10 replies 37 retweets 226 likes
      Show this thread
    3. Jeet Heer‏Verified account @HeerJeet 9 Nov 2020

      3. Biden won his landslide by making the national election a referendum against Trump, which meant courting GOP and GOP leaning voters by saying that the problem is Trump, not the GOP. This gave Never Trumpers permission to vote for Biden but also permission to split ticket.

      9 replies 35 retweets 247 likes
      Show this thread
    4. Jeet Heer‏Verified account @HeerJeet 9 Nov 2020

      4. One way to think about election is that both Trump & Biden worked to expand participation of Republican voters: Trump by bringing in more WWC (and, although evidence still needs confirming, Latino working class) voters & Biden by encouraging Never Trumpers to vote.

      2 replies 7 retweets 114 likes
      Show this thread
    5. Jeet Heer‏Verified account @HeerJeet 9 Nov 2020

      5. Biden's whole argument was Trump was problem & once he's gone Dems & GOP can go back to normal politics. Also that he, Biden, is good for this restoration because he knows how to work with GOP. Given those claims, why wouldn't center-leaning voters split ticket?

      9 replies 21 retweets 133 likes
      Show this thread
    6. Jeet Heer‏Verified account @HeerJeet 9 Nov 2020

      6. If you think Trump was an existential threat to American democracy, then Biden's strategy was not only successful but justified. But festering centrist gridlock will itself produce future demagogues. La lutte continue. More:https://www.thenation.com/article/politics/biden-defeat-trump-democrat/ …

      15 replies 66 retweets 433 likes
      Show this thread
    7. Richard Yeselson‏ @yeselson 9 Nov 2020
      Replying to @HeerJeet

      You nailed this. The problem for the left is its presumed strategy was very high risk/reward, ie, *maybe* a social democratic policy election increases Dem wwc .+ more Latinos in TX/FL. More likely, it’s just reduces Biden’s suburban centrist tix split voters. And he loses too.

      2 replies 2 retweets 7 likes
    8. Richard Yeselson‏ @yeselson 9 Nov 2020
      Replying to @yeselson @HeerJeet

      And we are going to have, by USstandards, a super high turnout election, close to 90% of registered (not eligible) voters. Hard to see how many more urban/young/non white voters Biden could have squeezed out. He needed those “never Trump” suburban centrists.

      2 replies 0 retweets 4 likes
      Jeet Heer‏Verified account @HeerJeet 9 Nov 2020
      Replying to @yeselson

      He needs them if he cedes working class vote (including it seems Latino working class) to Trump. Not sure how this plays out in a non-Trump election.

      9:38 AM - 9 Nov 2020
      • 2 Likes
      • Anthony Sin 🟩🌹 Terrific Torres
      4 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Richard Yeselson‏ @yeselson 9 Nov 2020
          Replying to @HeerJeet

          But that’s just the thing—the Latino vote in South Texas and South Florida isn’t particularly leftist on economics. He wasn’t going to win those voters with the social dem platform, but he probably would have lost some of those 100k GA voters who picked him, but not Ossoff.

          2 replies 0 retweets 4 likes
        3. Greg Sargent‏Verified account @ThePlumLineGS 9 Nov 2020
          Replying to @yeselson @HeerJeet

          Also, in 2012, Obama won a comparable share of the white working class to Biden while running against the ultimate plutocrat/global capitalist. Maybe the problem runs deep here.

          0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
        4. End of conversation
        1. Jack Pondit vsp‏ @Jack_Pondit 9 Nov 2020
          Replying to @HeerJeet @yeselson

          One problem is that pivoting to a progressive agenda takes more than one election. Democrats have spent 30 years campaigning within right wing economic framing, they can’t re-educate voters overnight.

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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        1. mind of mencius (still @theophite)‏ @Theophite 9 Nov 2020
          Replying to @HeerJeet @yeselson

          jeet, who won the vote of voters making under $50k. this is a "you must be this tall to ride" sign for Discourse.

          0 replies 0 retweets 12 likes
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        1. Leo Casey‏ @LeoECasey 9 Nov 2020
          Replying to @HeerJeet @yeselson

          This argument about Latino votes in general and working class Latino votes is based largely on exit polls which are seen as highly questionable by political scientists and political pros.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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