On what basis so you say this, what political science are you relying on? History shows that beating an incumbent is tough. In our polarized environment most Republicans vote for the GOP AND Trump has a base of 40% that are intensely loyal to him. Still, he got soundly beaten.
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Yep, that's the case all over the world. In most countries national leaders see a big bump because of Covid -- often in 60% to 80% range. Trump's polarizing ability was such he only saw a small bump at start which arguably disappeared.
End of conversation
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Also, on that economy chart up there: In 2012, things were demonstrably better but we were still climbing the last 1/3rd of the way out of the recession. 2016 v 2020 would be a more timely comparison, imo.
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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