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HeerJeet's profile
Jeet Heer
Jeet Heer
Jeet Heer
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@HeerJeet

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Jeet HeerVerified account

@HeerJeet

1. Writer, The Nation https://www.thenation.com/authors/jeet-heer/ … 2. email: jeetheer1967 at gmail dot com 3. Twitter essayist 4. Drawn by Joe Ollmann

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Joined June 2012

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    1. Richard Yeselson‏ @yeselson 8 Nov 2020

      This is the worst expression of Electoral College distortion we will have had in the modern era. By that metric, this was a *very* close election. Biden is projected to win the PV by ~ 4%, Obama’s margin vs. Romney in ‘12. But there was only one state BO won by < 1% (FL, .9%.)

      6 replies 29 retweets 165 likes
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    2. Richard Yeselson‏ @yeselson 8 Nov 2020

      Biden is going to win *four* states by < 1%—AZ/GA/PA/WI. (in fact, he might yet lose AZ.) He will, eg, end up winning WI by a smaller margin than Trump had vs Clinton in ‘16. Trump turned out his wwc base, improved significantly with Latinos, almost won again—even minus 4%.

      5 replies 5 retweets 47 likes
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      Jeet Heer‏Verified account @HeerJeet 8 Nov 2020
      Replying to @yeselson

      The big question going forward is whether Trump was a one-off or if other Republicans will have his skill in reaching both wwc and (increasingly) Latino working class (with even a foothold in Black working class).

      9:15 AM - 8 Nov 2020
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      8 replies 1 retweet 19 likes
        1. Sean McCormick‏ @SeanSeanmac31 8 Nov 2020
          Replying to @HeerJeet @yeselson

          I suspect the former.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. Richard Yeselson‏ @yeselson 8 Nov 2020
          Replying to @HeerJeet

          Right—and something gendered/misogynist was going in with Trump too which augmented those numbers. Otoh, smooth “normal” senator Josh Hawley could pull back significant “hate Trump, not GOP” voters in the suburbs yet hold a lot of wc vote. Maybe.

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        1. Giant Eyeball, Esq.‏ @TheGreatLarue1 8 Nov 2020
          Replying to @HeerJeet @yeselson

          Are you sure Trump’s Latino support was working class?pic.twitter.com/kSD6cxQTWO

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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        1. Brian Hamm‏ @brianrdhamm 8 Nov 2020
          Replying to @HeerJeet @yeselson

          Definitely. Coalitions can change. Lots of people thought the EC had become a huge advantage for Democrats after 2012, and then....

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        2. b-boy bouiebaisse‏Verified account @jbouie 8 Nov 2020
          Replying to @HeerJeet @yeselson

          I would caution against assuming this is a foothold with the working-class of those groups versus the *men* of those groups.

          4 replies 1 retweet 78 likes
        3. Jeet Heer‏Verified account @HeerJeet 8 Nov 2020
          Replying to @jbouie @yeselson

          Yeah, obviously huge gender divide on this. Perhaps related to fact that young black men are less churched and otherwise plugged into communal networks? I mean aside from the obvious gender politics of Trump himself.

          1 reply 0 retweets 13 likes
        4. Show replies
        1.  💉 😷No 🏳️‍🌈Chill 🇵🇷Hockey 🍞 💐 🛫‏ @no_chill_hockey 8 Nov 2020
          Replying to @HeerJeet @yeselson

          I'd worry until there's more data to worry about it. I'm skeptical of these supposed inroads reported by exit polls. They might be fine under normal circumstances, but this year was anything but.

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