This is the worst expression of Electoral College distortion we will have had in the modern era. By that metric, this was a *very* close election. Biden is projected to win the PV by ~ 4%, Obama’s margin vs. Romney in ‘12. But there was only one state BO won by < 1% (FL, .9%.)
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I suspect the former.
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Right—and something gendered/misogynist was going in with Trump too which augmented those numbers. Otoh, smooth “normal” senator Josh Hawley could pull back significant “hate Trump, not GOP” voters in the suburbs yet hold a lot of wc vote. Maybe.
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Are you sure Trump’s Latino support was working class?pic.twitter.com/kSD6cxQTWO
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Definitely. Coalitions can change. Lots of people thought the EC had become a huge advantage for Democrats after 2012, and then....
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I would caution against assuming this is a foothold with the working-class of those groups versus the *men* of those groups.
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Yeah, obviously huge gender divide on this. Perhaps related to fact that young black men are less churched and otherwise plugged into communal networks? I mean aside from the obvious gender politics of Trump himself.
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I'd worry until there's more data to worry about it. I'm skeptical of these supposed inroads reported by exit polls. They might be fine under normal circumstances, but this year was anything but.
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