There are a lot of stories about this election that conservative journalists want to tell, and they're only half true. GOP doing better with minority working class. Yes, but not wildly. Trumpism a drag on GOP. Maybe, not nearly as much as Bushism was.
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He'll be back in 2024.
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This seems like the biggest factor to me. Trump drives huge turnout from people who normally don’t vote, which causes the poll misses we are seeing. Same thing happened with Obama. Will be interesting to see what happens during GA runoffs.
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They did fine in Senate races in 2018, and did really well in the South. They'll find another white nationalist to replace him. Depressing.
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trumpism isn't just a political phenomenon, but a cultural one. i can't think of another figure with that much built-in capital w/ normies. maybe oprah?
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I think one of the big outstanding questions at this point is whether Trump ends up for Republicans what Obama has become for Democrats: A figure whose base connection is not easily replicable.
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This is a solace I take, as I look at other progressive setbacks in this election. I can't imagine Tom Cotton or Josh Hawley rousing up a truck flotilla.
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I like how you think
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George P. Bush waiting in the wings for his moment in 2024...
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A sizable portion of Trump voters dislike the GOP establishment almost as much as they hate the Democrats.
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George W was much more successful.
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