It’s amazing to me how some on the left — not just Jeet — agonize about Trafalgar/Rasmussen polls being right but easily dismiss polls that suggest a Biden blowout.https://twitter.com/HeerJeet/status/1322247201318301696 …
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Fair enough, and I didn’t mean to make you the poster boy for this kind of effect. But it is a thing.
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Democrats are the only people who "un-skew" polls to show they are losing.
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The 538 average for NC is Biden +2.1. So Marist +6 would be at the margin of error for that result. Not even an outlier.
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I actually think you are wrong. I have looked at deep red states and the numbers there suggest a blowout win in popular vote as well
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What does it mean to "treat it" like an outlier? Seems like it should be given just as much weight as every other quality poll.
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It's only an outlier if it is. If the polls are trending towards Biden - which is something that has been suggested by
@TheRickWilson and others - then it could very well be in the expected range. We'll know next week.Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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