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HeerJeet's profile
Jeet Heer
Jeet Heer
Jeet Heer
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@HeerJeet

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Jeet HeerVerified account

@HeerJeet

1. Writer, The Nation https://www.thenation.com/authors/jeet-heer/ … 2. email: jeetheer1967 at gmail dot com 3. Twitter essayist 4. Drawn by Joe Ollmann

thenation.com
Joined June 2012

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    1. Daniel W. Drezner‏Verified account @dandrezner 30 Oct 2020

      Daniel W. Drezner Retweeted Jeet Heer

      It’s amazing to me how some on the left — not just Jeet — agonize about Trafalgar/Rasmussen polls being right but easily dismiss polls that suggest a Biden blowout.https://twitter.com/HeerJeet/status/1322247201318301696 …

      Daniel W. Drezner added,

      Jeet HeerVerified account @HeerJeet
      On the one hand, Marist is a very highly rated pollster. On the other hand, this seems too good to be true. https://twitter.com/PpollingNumbers/status/1322224394727555073 …
      27 replies 10 retweets 93 likes
      Jeet Heer‏Verified account @HeerJeet 30 Oct 2020
      Replying to @dandrezner

      I think Trafalgar/ Rasmussen polls are garbage. I just think Marist is a very good pollster but this particular poll is an outlier and should be treated as such. I do think it's going to be a Biden blowout in the popular vote.

      11:46 AM - 30 Oct 2020
      • 3 Retweets
      • 34 Likes
      • Kathleen Turner Overdrive Mike Tab junior melancon, jr. Brent Auble lemmy caution JD Dave Nickason Andrea Sidweber
      7 replies 3 retweets 34 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Daniel W. Drezner‏Verified account @dandrezner 30 Oct 2020
          Replying to @HeerJeet

          Fair enough, and I didn’t mean to make you the poster boy for this kind of effect. But it is a thing.

          2 replies 1 retweet 9 likes
        3. Joe Ro‏ @joero3 30 Oct 2020
          Replying to @dandrezner @HeerJeet

          Democrats are the only people who "un-skew" polls to show they are losing.

          1 reply 0 retweets 5 likes
        4. Show replies
        1. John Smith‏ @GOP_U 30 Oct 2020
          Replying to @HeerJeet @dandrezner

          The 538 average for NC is Biden +2.1. So Marist +6 would be at the margin of error for that result. Not even an outlier.

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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        1. GOP AMERICA’S SHAME‏ @andyinTOONT 30 Oct 2020
          Replying to @HeerJeet @dandrezner

          I actually think you are wrong. I have looked at deep red states and the numbers there suggest a blowout win in popular vote as well

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. David Williams‏ @dznyc 30 Oct 2020
          Replying to @HeerJeet @dandrezner

          What does it mean to "treat it" like an outlier? Seems like it should be given just as much weight as every other quality poll.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. Constitutional Progressive  🙃‏ @ConstProg 30 Oct 2020
          Replying to @HeerJeet @dandrezner

          It's only an outlier if it is. If the polls are trending towards Biden - which is something that has been suggested by @TheRickWilson and others - then it could very well be in the expected range. We'll know next week.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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