This would indicate that the polls would be incorrect in a not-totally-awful way, no?
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I think so, but I'd love to know if we have any idea of who exactly all these new voters are.
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Really kind of odd that this is happening in the middle of a plague.
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It's happening because of the plague, in a way.
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@NateSilver538@SenhorRaposa This is an question I'd love the answer toThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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the polls see the huge turnout, its why Marist is just doing RV. That said, LV screens may be less than accurate this year.
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Just makes the LV screen more like the RV, yes?
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Not a polling expert but my guess is it depends entirely on how different pollsters weight their polls and which demographics increase turn out. If it's a surge in the young, but Black voters are suppressed in some states, or if it's a surge across the board, etc. etc. etc.
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Makes it more reliable, no?
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LVs are traditionally older and whiter so the skew on LVs could be significantly off if a lot of young people and POCs are voting for the first time or first time in several elections.
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