Aren‘t people already voting?
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Or further apart, as voters move away from the incumbent.
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Not necessarily. They don’t always narrow.
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I honestly think that Biden will be the clear winner the night of Nov 3. Particularly if early voting continues as strongly as it seems to be now. NOT to seem complacent, but there seems to be a lot more urgency to the Dem vote this year.
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Plus the fact that there wasn't a lot of polling done in 2016 in many of those states so the data is weak at best.
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I'm not a betting man, but if I were, I'd bet that Trump will do terribly tonight, and there will be more scandals against him. So the polls will not tighten, and the final result will be worse for him. We shouldn't count on this—I'm making calls!—but that's most likely.
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there will be much higher turnout, so polls wont tighten (as much)
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where are they getting the numbers? MN polls were only off about 4 points in 2016.
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