2. The striking thing about the polls is how consistent they've been, impervious to almost all outside events (the one recent exception is BLM protests, which nudged Biden up 2 points). But does that mean nothing matters or that all scandals have created low ceiling for Trump?
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3. So: scandals create a ceiling for Trump. He's lagged Biden all through election & needs to narrow difference in order to win (has a decent shot if he's 3-4% less than Biden). Scandals help keep that ceiling hard.pic.twitter.com/F0RsjiXeGl
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4. Beyond the election, there are broader political battles: Trump's crookedness with taxes are a great opportunity to push for wealth tax. "Nothing matter" makes everything about November when politics is broader. More thoughts here.https://www.thenation.com/article/politics/trump-tax-evasion-election/ …
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My favorite part of the NYT bedtime story I read last night was where they said there's more where this came from.
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Yuppp, these changes occur on a molecular level and most people’s opinions change over time through inner repulsions and minor psychological shifts. Every scandal matters if strategists want it to.
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I appreciate your honesty, and I think we all experience a bit of this
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The problem is that the opposition party doesn't want to take this logic all the way because their leaders benefit from the same broken system. They want Trump to be viewed as an aberration rather than an expected result of systemic failure.
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