yes what is the actual evidence of this aside from rick scott did a very good job of minority outreach and bill nelson was asleep at the wheel?
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To be clear, I meant this as a genuine question. I've seen some journalism about this but wanted to know if there was anything academic. I think one problem is that it's actually hard to accurately measure since the shift if it is real is also small.
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i'll let others decide if this is *good* but
@justingrimmer and I have a paper showing how many net votes Trump got from different segments of the electorate, compared to Romney in 2012 https://williammarble.co/docs/vb.pdf pic.twitter.com/6I32oViHJn
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super interesting, research! but I have a nitpicky data viz question. Why are the point estimates for each racial category connected with a line as if they are an ordinal measure? Presumably the ordering of this factor is arbitrary, and thus so is the contour of the line?
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It’s black men. Not black women.
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Machismo is a big part of it
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The question is why have they turned to Trump?
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