1. Joe Biden has had a healthy lead of 7%-9% which is holding steady or (if we rely on polls done with interviews rather than just online) is growing. But as a guard against complacency, consider 1988.https://twitter.com/baseballot/status/1286320692447907840 …
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4. Law and order clearly stokes up the right-wing base & is probably keeping Trump from a real free fall. If you go to MAGA-twitter, these folks really are afraid of antifa & BLM violent revolution. But it's not winning the broader middle-ground voter.
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5. Trump's big problem as a law & order candidate is that much of the public sees him as an agent of chaos: a divisive figure who always escalates. This please the fans but turns off many more. More thoughts here:https://www.thenation.com/article/politics/trump-advertisement-willie-horton/ …
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End of conversation
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You have to have credibility before you can burn it.
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This is also a very different country than it was during Nixon’s era. I don’t understand how they think it’s a long term strategy
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There's also just so much less polarization than there was in 1988 too. You're not going to see swings like that in a modern election becuase of how the electorate is now.
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I'd also look at 2000, since bush lead by 7 points but ended up losing the national popular vote
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