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HeerJeet's profile
Jeet Heer
Jeet Heer
Jeet Heer
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@HeerJeet

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Jeet HeerVerified account

@HeerJeet

1. Writer, The Nation https://www.thenation.com/authors/jeet-heer/ … 2. email: jeetheer1967 at gmail dot com 3. Twitter essayist 4. Drawn by Joe Ollmann

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Joined June 2012

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    1. Jeet Heer‏Verified account @HeerJeet 24 Jul 2020

      Jeet Heer Retweeted Nathaniel Rakich

      1. Joe Biden has had a healthy lead of 7%-9% which is holding steady or (if we rely on polls done with interviews rather than just online) is growing. But as a guard against complacency, consider 1988.https://twitter.com/baseballot/status/1286320692447907840 …

      Jeet Heer added,

      Nathaniel Rakich @baseballot
      The @FiveThirtyEight nat'l polling average with 103 days until E-Day: 2020: Biden+7.7 2016: Clinton+2.1 2012: Obama+0.8 2008: Obama+4.2 2004: Kerry+1.9 2000: Bush+7.5 1996: Clinton+15.2 1992: Clinton+23.7 1988: Dukakis+15.3 1984: Reagan+1.3 1980: Reagan+22.4 1976: Carter+27.4
      18 replies 38 retweets 168 likes
      Show this thread
      Jeet Heer‏Verified account @HeerJeet 24 Jul 2020

      2. At this point in 1988, Dukakis had a lead of 15.3% & Bush steadily destroyed it with a campaign of flag burning demonization: Willie Horton, flag burning, ACLU, capital punishment. Could Trump do the same to Biden?

      9:59 AM - 24 Jul 2020
      • 21 Retweets
      • 67 Likes
      • Paul Ennis 🪗 Bruce Triggs Harry Pollack Standup Commie Gustavo Perez 譚火龍 • Hoa-Long Mattia Guidarelli ken crichlow Shawn Williams
      23 replies 21 retweets 67 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Jeet Heer‏Verified account @HeerJeet 24 Jul 2020

          3. Clearly Trump's "law and order" push -- including sending federal agents to Portland & Chicago -- is move to reignite culture wars by stoking racist paranoia about urban America. So far it hasn't been working.

          5 replies 15 retweets 65 likes
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        3. Jeet Heer‏Verified account @HeerJeet 24 Jul 2020

          4. Law and order clearly stokes up the right-wing base & is probably keeping Trump from a real free fall. If you go to MAGA-twitter, these folks really are afraid of antifa & BLM violent revolution. But it's not winning the broader middle-ground voter.

          5 replies 9 retweets 62 likes
          Show this thread
        4. Jeet Heer‏Verified account @HeerJeet 24 Jul 2020

          5. Trump's big problem as a law & order candidate is that much of the public sees him as an agent of chaos: a divisive figure who always escalates. This please the fans but turns off many more. More thoughts here:https://www.thenation.com/article/politics/trump-advertisement-willie-horton/ …

          4 replies 13 retweets 59 likes
          Show this thread
        5. End of conversation
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        1. Centrist  🤝Madness‏ @CentristMadness 24 Jul 2020
          Replying to @HeerJeet

          Convention bump.

          0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
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        1. Phineas J. Tweetwell‏ @bardamu722 24 Jul 2020
          Replying to @HeerJeet

          2020 America isn't anything close to 1988 America. For many, many reasons

          0 replies 0 retweets 12 likes
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        1. Leo Casey‏ @LeoECasey 24 Jul 2020
          Replying to @HeerJeet

          We should not taken anything for granted, but the caveat I would offer is that some of the polls you are citing reflect post-convention bounces. Insofar as that will happen, they are yet to come.

          0 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
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        1. Meeks‏ @FLman1980 24 Jul 2020
          Replying to @HeerJeet

          Anyone who thinks this will work still doesn’t understand what this pandemic is.

          0 replies 0 retweets 5 likes
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        1. Angus Bell  🇨🇦 🇦🇺 🦫 🦘‏ @CanadianOwl92 24 Jul 2020
          Replying to @HeerJeet

          Because the country is polarized now, I suspect that most of that is already baked in. I doubt there are many undecideds who would be influenced by those types of attacks now.

          0 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
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