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HeerJeet's profile
Jeet Heer
Jeet Heer
Jeet Heer
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@HeerJeet

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Jeet HeerVerified account

@HeerJeet

1. Writer, The Nation https://www.thenation.com/authors/jeet-heer/ … 2. email: jeetheer1967 at gmail dot com 3. Twitter essayist 4. Drawn by Joe Ollmann

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Joined June 2012

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    Jeet Heer‏Verified account @HeerJeet 24 Jul 2020

    Jeet Heer Retweeted Nathaniel Rakich

    1. Joe Biden has had a healthy lead of 7%-9% which is holding steady or (if we rely on polls done with interviews rather than just online) is growing. But as a guard against complacency, consider 1988.https://twitter.com/baseballot/status/1286320692447907840 …

    Jeet Heer added,

    Nathaniel Rakich @baseballot
    The @FiveThirtyEight nat'l polling average with 103 days until E-Day: 2020: Biden+7.7 2016: Clinton+2.1 2012: Obama+0.8 2008: Obama+4.2 2004: Kerry+1.9 2000: Bush+7.5 1996: Clinton+15.2 1992: Clinton+23.7 1988: Dukakis+15.3 1984: Reagan+1.3 1980: Reagan+22.4 1976: Carter+27.4
    9:57 AM - 24 Jul 2020
    • 38 Retweets
    • 168 Likes
    • A friendly upright fellow Isaac Miller in solidarity with 🇺🇦 👁🦖🙃 girma XM Ashvin Suzanne Molner ☮️ stove Sam Smith
    18 replies 38 retweets 168 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. Jeet Heer‏Verified account @HeerJeet 24 Jul 2020

        2. At this point in 1988, Dukakis had a lead of 15.3% & Bush steadily destroyed it with a campaign of flag burning demonization: Willie Horton, flag burning, ACLU, capital punishment. Could Trump do the same to Biden?

        23 replies 21 retweets 67 likes
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      3. Jeet Heer‏Verified account @HeerJeet 24 Jul 2020

        3. Clearly Trump's "law and order" push -- including sending federal agents to Portland & Chicago -- is move to reignite culture wars by stoking racist paranoia about urban America. So far it hasn't been working.

        5 replies 15 retweets 65 likes
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      4. Jeet Heer‏Verified account @HeerJeet 24 Jul 2020

        4. Law and order clearly stokes up the right-wing base & is probably keeping Trump from a real free fall. If you go to MAGA-twitter, these folks really are afraid of antifa & BLM violent revolution. But it's not winning the broader middle-ground voter.

        5 replies 9 retweets 62 likes
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      5. Jeet Heer‏Verified account @HeerJeet 24 Jul 2020

        5. Trump's big problem as a law & order candidate is that much of the public sees him as an agent of chaos: a divisive figure who always escalates. This please the fans but turns off many more. More thoughts here:https://www.thenation.com/article/politics/trump-advertisement-willie-horton/ …

        4 replies 13 retweets 59 likes
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      6. End of conversation
      1. Ric Fouad‏ @ricfouad 24 Jul 2020
        Replying to @HeerJeet

        Dukakis 15.3%, period.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. New conversation
      2. Flother‏ @Flother2 24 Jul 2020
        Replying to @HeerJeet

        I won't let myself get complacent but I do think more intense partisanship and Trump's very high unfavorables makes it impossible for him to win without a bunch of shenanigans. Unfortunately he seems to think the same thing.

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. New conversation
      2. Murbs' Sox - #TheSquad #BidenHarris2020‏ @MurbsSox 24 Jul 2020
        Replying to @HeerJeet

        And a candidate willing to go super Willie Horton on the Democratic Party’s nominee

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      3. Canby Ibarra‏ @sportsjefe 24 Jul 2020
        Replying to @MurbsSox @HeerJeet

        The problem is, Trump has gone Willie Horton since 2015. It's not that it doesn't work, but isn't anybody he'd have doing that already priced in?

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      4. Show replies
      1. John‏ @johnlk_80 24 Jul 2020
        Replying to @HeerJeet

        Dukakis had a very temporary, but very large, bump after the DNC. It's not really comparable.

        0 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
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