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HeerJeet's profile
Jeet Heer
Jeet Heer
Jeet Heer
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@HeerJeet

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Jeet HeerVerified account

@HeerJeet

1. Writer, The Nation https://www.thenation.com/authors/jeet-heer/ … 2. email: jeetheer1967 at gmail dot com 3. Twitter essayist 4. Drawn by Joe Ollmann

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Joined June 2012

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    1. Jeet Heer‏Verified account @HeerJeet 15 Jul 2020

      Jeet Heer Retweeted Nate Cohn

      1. This is Biden's best poll and an outlier. But not by that much! Average of other polls is Biden at +8. So it's difference between large landslide (8%) and super-landslide (15%)https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1283486090855419904 …

      Jeet Heer added,

      Nate CohnVerified account @Nate_Cohn
      Biden leads by 15 points nationwide, 52 to 37 percent in the Quinnipiac poll. It's Biden's largest lead in a national survey since he secured the nomination https://poll.qu.edu/national/release-detail?ReleaseID=3666 …
      Show this thread
      6 replies 14 retweets 112 likes
      Show this thread
    2. Jeet Heer‏Verified account @HeerJeet 15 Jul 2020

      2. Let's be cautious and say it's Biden at 8%. Question then is: can it hold? Elections typically narrow towards the finish line, but will that happen now?

      17 replies 5 retweets 53 likes
      Show this thread
      Jeet Heer‏Verified account @HeerJeet 15 Jul 2020

      3. I would caution against complacent optimism (people need to push hard till the end) but: there's reason to think that narrowing gap to where Trump needs it to be (he can win with Biden at plus 3%-4%) will be hard.

      1:18 PM - 15 Jul 2020
      • 5 Retweets
      • 60 Likes
      • Rabbit of Caerbannog #DefundthePolice🍊🌹🏳️‍🌈🏀⚾️🏏🏌🏿‍♂️#WearAMask 🌈Julia🏠 Bʀʏɴ Bᴇʜʀᴇɴsʜᴀᴜsᴇɴ ⚡️🔋🚗☀️ Rodford pmtechguy Jessica Josephson Phillip Fuhrer jval
      5 replies 5 retweets 60 likes
        1. Jeet Heer‏Verified account @HeerJeet 15 Jul 2020

          4. It's hard to see the narrowing happening as long as Covid remains unchecked (and Trump has no plan), which in turn will mean economy will continue to flounder. That's what's dragging him down. Moreover, Trump can't hold many rallies or real convention.

          7 replies 4 retweets 40 likes
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        1. Sardar Bhut Jolokia‏ @SwamiTweeteth 15 Jul 2020
          Replying to @HeerJeet

          Depends on: 1) what voting restrictions Trump's allies are able to put in place 2) How much help Russia provides

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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        1. ProfOfIndefiniteArticles‏ @ProfThibodeau 15 Jul 2020
          Replying to @HeerJeet

          Only way out is if vaccine comes out in September and somehow his government manages to get it to lots of people by the end of October. Odds: << 2%

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. Chuck (Taylor's Version)‏ @Jamie_Maz 15 Jul 2020
          Replying to @HeerJeet

          Two potential problems. - Biden has a substantial senior moment in a debate that scares people. - The election is fraudulent in many states due to the pandemic, closed polling places, people waiting in line or unable to vote, mail in ballot chaos etc.

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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        1. Aaron Wrast‏ @AaronWrast 15 Jul 2020
          Replying to @HeerJeet

          Yep. There are a lot of unique headwinds for Trump in this race but, still, we've seen candidates with big July leads actually get thumped themselves before. Even if the polls are 100% accurate, there's time for things to shift.pic.twitter.com/WeTLbuzjeg

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