2. Let's be cautious and say it's Biden at 8%. Question then is: can it hold? Elections typically narrow towards the finish line, but will that happen now?
-
-
Show this thread
-
3. I would caution against complacent optimism (people need to push hard till the end) but: there's reason to think that narrowing gap to where Trump needs it to be (he can win with Biden at plus 3%-4%) will be hard.
Show this thread -
4. It's hard to see the narrowing happening as long as Covid remains unchecked (and Trump has no plan), which in turn will mean economy will continue to flounder. That's what's dragging him down. Moreover, Trump can't hold many rallies or real convention.
Show this thread
End of conversation
New conversation -
-
-
Does nobody remember when Hillary was ahead by 12 on average in July 2016? I sure as hell do.
-
Hillary never polled consistently outside of the margin of error against him. I don’t think she actually broke 50 consistently either. It was like 49-47 ish at the end with a moe around 3 These numbers will forever be burned in my head
End of conversation
New conversation -
-
-
The only thing that could help Trump is if there's a proven vaccine and people are generally in better spirits.
-
His voters don't believe in vaccines.
End of conversation
New conversation -
-
-
Ignore these polls. This exuberance reminds me of 2016. We need to act as if
@JoeBiden is 30 to 40 points behind@realDonaldTrump Make sure you and your family are registered to#vote!Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
-
-
-
How many points does it take to overcome the undemocratic features of the Electoral College?
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
-
-
-
Summer polls usually come with the disclaimer that "most people don't pay attention until after Labor Day", but in this particular year, most people don't have sports and vacations to distract them.
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
-
Loading seems to be taking a while.
Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.