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HeerJeet's profile
Jeet Heer
Jeet Heer
Jeet Heer
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@HeerJeet

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Jeet HeerVerified account

@HeerJeet

1. Writer, The Nation https://www.thenation.com/authors/jeet-heer/ … 2. email: jeetheer1967 at gmail dot com 3. Twitter essayist 4. Drawn by Joe Ollmann

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Joined June 2012

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    Jeet Heer‏Verified account @HeerJeet 15 Jul 2020

    Jeet Heer Retweeted Nate Cohn

    1. This is Biden's best poll and an outlier. But not by that much! Average of other polls is Biden at +8. So it's difference between large landslide (8%) and super-landslide (15%)https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1283486090855419904 …

    Jeet Heer added,

    Nate CohnVerified account @Nate_Cohn
    Biden leads by 15 points nationwide, 52 to 37 percent in the Quinnipiac poll. It's Biden's largest lead in a national survey since he secured the nomination https://poll.qu.edu/national/release-detail?ReleaseID=3666 …
    Show this thread
    1:14 PM - 15 Jul 2020
    • 14 Retweets
    • 112 Likes
    • ACClarke Stephanie Asplund Barry Freed Amarjit Singh ck 🇺🇦 Tim Lacy theBitterFig Tonkin Honky ¯\_(ツ)_/¯ zenosAnalytic
    6 replies 14 retweets 112 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. Jeet Heer‏Verified account @HeerJeet 15 Jul 2020

        2. Let's be cautious and say it's Biden at 8%. Question then is: can it hold? Elections typically narrow towards the finish line, but will that happen now?

        17 replies 5 retweets 53 likes
        Show this thread
      3. Jeet Heer‏Verified account @HeerJeet 15 Jul 2020

        3. I would caution against complacent optimism (people need to push hard till the end) but: there's reason to think that narrowing gap to where Trump needs it to be (he can win with Biden at plus 3%-4%) will be hard.

        5 replies 5 retweets 60 likes
        Show this thread
      4. Jeet Heer‏Verified account @HeerJeet 15 Jul 2020

        4. It's hard to see the narrowing happening as long as Covid remains unchecked (and Trump has no plan), which in turn will mean economy will continue to flounder. That's what's dragging him down. Moreover, Trump can't hold many rallies or real convention.

        7 replies 4 retweets 40 likes
        Show this thread
      5. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. Olivia Hill‏ @machineiv 15 Jul 2020
        Replying to @HeerJeet

        Does nobody remember when Hillary was ahead by 12 on average in July 2016? I sure as hell do.

        2 replies 0 retweets 5 likes
      3. Glüten Morgen  🌞‏ @meanzjest 15 Jul 2020
        Replying to @machineiv @HeerJeet

        Hillary never polled consistently outside of the margin of error against him. I don’t think she actually broke 50 consistently either. It was like 49-47 ish at the end with a moe around 3 These numbers will forever be burned in my head

        0 replies 1 retweet 1 like
      4. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. John D.‏ @FriendlessTwit 15 Jul 2020
        Replying to @HeerJeet

        The only thing that could help Trump is if there's a proven vaccine and people are generally in better spirits.

        1 reply 1 retweet 1 like
      3. Spidey‏ @MMSpidey84 15 Jul 2020
        Replying to @FriendlessTwit @HeerJeet

        His voters don't believe in vaccines.

        0 replies 1 retweet 1 like
      4. End of conversation
      1. Recreational Bigot Destroyer‏ @DisinfectBigots 15 Jul 2020
        Replying to @HeerJeet

        Ignore these polls. This exuberance reminds me of 2016. We need to act as if @JoeBiden is 30 to 40 points behind @realDonaldTrump Make sure you and your family are registered to #vote!

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. Joseph Savon‏ @seceedercat 15 Jul 2020
        Replying to @HeerJeet

        How many points does it take to overcome the undemocratic features of the Electoral College?

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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      1. Jason Eshleman‏ @eshlemanjd 15 Jul 2020
        Replying to @HeerJeet

        Summer polls usually come with the disclaimer that "most people don't pay attention until after Labor Day", but in this particular year, most people don't have sports and vacations to distract them.

        0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
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