The main thing is public opinion. Right now there is a strong public opinion consensus in favor of social distancing. Dems support a bit more than Republicans but majorities of both. Trump could change that fairly quickly & make this super-polarized.
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I think that’s possible. But although I have never learned to underestimate what Trump’s followers are willing to abide, facing family, friends, neighbors and co-workers in body bags is a qualitatively different reality than what has come before.
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But will they believe it before it's too late? Or all go back to socializing, everybody's fine for a week, ah, we beat this thing, and then....
End of conversation
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