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HeerJeet's profile
Jeet Heer
Jeet Heer
Jeet Heer
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@HeerJeet

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Jeet HeerVerified account

@HeerJeet

1. Writer, The Nation https://www.thenation.com/authors/jeet-heer/ … 2. email: jeetheer1967 at gmail dot com 3. Twitter essayist 4. Drawn by Joe Ollmann

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Joined June 2012

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    1. Andy Slavitt  💙 💛‏Verified account @ASlavitt 21 Mar 2020

      So it becomes hard to sustain. It would be different if we had enough testing. If we knew we were infectious, we would stay in. And we have 5 asymptomatic days on average when we get COVID-19. As a result of all of this, people will be inclined to break the social isolation.9/

      11 replies 195 retweets 1,181 likes
      Show this thread
    2. Andy Slavitt  💙 💛‏Verified account @ASlavitt 21 Mar 2020

      But there are other reasons: -Something I learned today was how much the virus hates ultraviolet light. So Rnaught goes down by an estimated 1/2% point. (So from 2.3 to 1.8 for example. Skip the next tweet if you already know what Rnaught is (but stop being so smug 😉). 10/

      34 replies 135 retweets 1,153 likes
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    3. Andy Slavitt  💙 💛‏Verified account @ASlavitt 21 Mar 2020

      Rnaught is the number of people each infected person infects. It is a critical factor in how fast the disease spreads. 80% of people or so who test positive don’t where they caught it. Rnaught x herd immunity needs to be reduced below 1 for the virus to begin to die.11/

      12 replies 115 retweets 922 likes
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    4. Andy Slavitt  💙 💛‏Verified account @ASlavitt 21 Mar 2020

      So this summer as some cities get past the bad part, as R0 goes down & people don’t believe don’t see problem, they feel fin hardship, there will be a clamoring for normalcy. And for social reasons. We like each other. Or we like drinking alcohol together. 12/

      12 replies 88 retweets 879 likes
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    5. Andy Slavitt  💙 💛‏Verified account @ASlavitt 21 Mar 2020

      I believe there will be another reason— the election. No matter what the scientist tell him, Trump will fixate on any good news and declare things over. Go back to work! Play baseball! Invest in stocks! Scientists I mentioned this too were horrified.13/

      18 replies 245 retweets 1,383 likes
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    6. Andy Slavitt  💙 💛‏Verified account @ASlavitt 21 Mar 2020

      If this happens with no access to testing, it would be a very bad thing in their view. So, one idea instead, is let businesses open if they install non-contact thermometers or require termperatures be taken prior to entry, while limiting capacity.14/

      24 replies 161 retweets 1,176 likes
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    7. Andy Slavitt  💙 💛‏Verified account @ASlavitt 21 Mar 2020

      The next phase, likely in the Fall, many believe that like the flu COVID-19 will be seasonal and as things cool down & R0 skyrockets with the summer & some schools open, it could come back, possibly worse. 15/

      14 replies 131 retweets 830 likes
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    8. Andy Slavitt  💙 💛‏Verified account @ASlavitt 21 Mar 2020

      But here’s the thing: we aren’t avoiding the spread. We’re trying to slow it down. Both to avoid the crush AND to create solutions for testing & prophylaxis & therapies while we advance the vaccine. So we could have many more tools then & social protocols. 16/

      10 replies 128 retweets 1,010 likes
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    9. Andy Slavitt  💙 💛‏Verified account @ASlavitt 21 Mar 2020

      Next phase: we have a lot of cases, but by this time if we’re thinking ahead, we’ve got great PPE manufacturing, more hospital capacity, an immune population, more ventilators, and we are beginning to know how to deal. But my guess is we’re probably also a little numb. 17/

      9 replies 83 retweets 919 likes
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    10. Andy Slavitt  💙 💛‏Verified account @ASlavitt 21 Mar 2020

      A strange argument begins to dominate (it’s already started). That treating COVID-19 is actually worse than not. That the economic consequences aren’t worth it. That 60k people die from the flu every year & we can’t shut everything down. As a matter of fact...18/

      22 replies 137 retweets 757 likes
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      Jeet Heer‏Verified account @HeerJeet 21 Mar 2020
      Replying to @ASlavitt

      There was a Wall Street Journal editorial recently making this argument.

      4:36 PM - 21 Mar 2020
      • 1 Retweet
      • 17 Likes
      • Laura Apollo Tom A Anne Sotelo Stephen Saperstein Frug Evan Haefeli 🇺🇦🏴‍☠️Blue & Yellow Wisco🏴‍☠️🇺🇦
      4 replies 1 retweet 17 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. T.O. Resident‏ @TO_Resident 21 Mar 2020
          Replying to @HeerJeet @ASlavitt

          Yep - instead of educating on how to quickly contain outbreaks and minimize both deaths and the business impact, they are promoting a strategy of killing 1M as quickly as possible because of stock prices.

          1 reply 2 retweets 15 likes
        3. Matt Daemon‏ @matthewk007 21 Mar 2020
          Replying to @TO_Resident @HeerJeet @ASlavitt

          could more die from an economic depression than a virus while we still have the virus linger for years?

          1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
        4. Show replies
        1. Knox McMillan‏ @KnoxMcM 21 Mar 2020
          Replying to @HeerJeet @ASlavitt

          Holman Jenkins is pushing it, too.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. Stephen Saperstein Frug‏ @StephenFrug 21 Mar 2020
          Replying to @HeerJeet @ASlavitt

          And one in the NY Times

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. New conversation
        2. Donald Spines‏ @SunnyDfan4eva 21 Mar 2020
          Replying to @HeerJeet @ASlavitt

          Everyone’s going to get it, even the infectious disease experts admit this, no reason to cause a Great Depression on top of it that will kill even more people. Rip off the bandaid.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. Fear Is Not Panic‏ @FearIsNotPanic 21 Mar 2020
          Replying to @SunnyDfan4eva @HeerJeet @ASlavitt

          Why can we not replicate the success of South Korea?

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
        4. End of conversation

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