Yeah, even as someone who's sympathetic to the idea that there's a wide range of uncertainty in the long-term coronavirus outlook, the policy response seems pretty clear: shut everything down for (at least) a few weeks, then you can re-evaluate from there.https://twitter.com/MattGrossmann/status/1239954054274371589 …
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For the very immediate term(a few weeks), yes. Just to get a handle on what we’re up against and also to make sure everyone gets it into their head that this really is a big deal. Longer than that, a long-term shutdown until there is (hopefully) a vaccine is a very risky gamble.
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We’ve never tried locking down the world for a year+ before. We have no idea how much poverty, and thus deaths, it would cause. We don’t know how long the recession/depression will last after we stop. It’s not a cautious approach at all.
End of conversation
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I want a double blind study with regions of five million each.
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