An amazing (and unexplained) reversal: within 24 hours Bernie and Biden essentially switch places in which one has over 60% chances of winning a plurality of delegates.https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-primary-forecast/ …
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I mean, if we're just going by intuition then what some of us have been saying for months is the only way to stop Sanders is for the moderate candidates to coalesce around one candidate.
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of course - that’s all i was saying, that if the hard numbers are there, they don’t not make sense
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538’s thing is to add intuitive guessing to their models. It’s not, strictly speaking, just science.
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