An amazing (and unexplained) reversal: within 24 hours Bernie and Biden essentially switch places in which one has over 60% chances of winning a plurality of delegates.https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-primary-forecast/ …
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Replying to @samuelmoyn
There have been only a handful of polls in those 24 hours -- and from low-rated companies using a small base. I don't see how the evidence backs such a swing.
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Replying to @HeerJeet @samuelmoyn
Data for Progress is highly rated and shows a massive swing for Biden. I'm preparing for him to have a strong night https://www.dataforprogress.org/memos/super-tuesday-final-polling …
3 replies 4 retweets 5 likes
Replying to @zackbeauchamp @samuelmoyn
I hadn't seen the Data for Progress report.
7:04 AM - 3 Mar 2020
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