there’s a pretty clear analogy to make between 1976 and 2016 — the last gasp of a fading coalition wins an unlikely victory before hitting headwinds institutional and political — as well as between 1980 and 2020, with sanders occupying the reagan role pretty well. https://twitter.com/MikeCooperJr/status/1232101759566389248 …
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If Trump loses in 2020 the front runner for the GOP nomination in 2024 is Donald Trump.
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I honestly don’t think he sees 2024.
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Carlson seems more genuinely populist and also strongly anti-war, both more popular policy than what Trump has.
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This Canadian cartoon just spews nonsense nonstop
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Eh, I think the departure of “Eisenhower Republicans” (Aka affluent moderates in the burbs) departing the GOP / GOP independent status to join Indivisible could constitute something like a crackup of the Reagan Coalition.
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I would not be surprised one bit if Tucker Carlson, Tim Allen & Alex Jones are all in the 2024 GOP POTUS primary and we end up in a scenario where Ron DeSantis & Tim Allen are the "safe" ones.
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That is what happened in California - perpetual minority, some leadership struggles over whether to moderate, but can often join with centrist Dems on new policy frontier.
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Tho maybe not as good a guide to national outcomes given strictures of our Reaganite state constitution make it a great challenge to tax & spend over status quo
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Though being a smaller part of the population doesn't hurt politically provided that they shrink the effective voting population opposite them...
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