there’s a pretty clear analogy to make between 1976 and 2016 — the last gasp of a fading coalition wins an unlikely victory before hitting headwinds institutional and political — as well as between 1980 and 2020, with sanders occupying the reagan role pretty well. https://twitter.com/MikeCooperJr/status/1232101759566389248 …
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Which is to say, I don't think the Reagan/Bush/Trump coalition will crack-up. It'll just become a smaller part of population and in the process (I think) more radicalized. Good prospects for Tucker Carlson to replace Trump.
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If Trump loses in 2020 the front runner for the GOP nomination in 2024 is Donald Trump.
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Doesn't losing people who've gone to college count as breaking?
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Certainly was a transitory set of pols that got Obamacare. Buildt it, run from it + oppo whines fundraises off of denigrating it, but it made things happen. Build a coalition around M4A, green infrastructure jobs, worker and union rights and some of that just might stick as well.
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