1. We're still waiting on the full Iowa results but with 71% in, it's pretty clear that Joe Biden had a dismal showing. He came in a distant fourth (unlikely to change with more results), barely cleared the 15% threshold, and starkly underperformed his poll numbers.
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3. Biden has benefitted from the delayed drip-drip-drip release of results, which has hidden the real story of Iowa: the collapse of his support. But donors & party leaders are paying attention and it's going to have an impact. More thoughts here:https://www.thenation.com/article/politics/biden-iowa-results-defeat/ …
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The millennials cannot wait to stay home from this election if Biden is the nominee. And so much is turnout.
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I think a lot of the people that leaned for him in polls aren't as likely to show up as with other candidates (which blows a hole through his "electabilty" angle)
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1) Iowa wasn't a primary 2) A caucus is for the diehards that can spend all day arguing with each other. 3) Biden has never had a great showing in Iowa 4) None of Bernie/Liz/Pete do well with turning out people of color to vote.
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I don’t see how you extrapolate from a caucus to a primary. You want to do so because you want him to fail.
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Why place so much importance on the results in this one state?
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