1. Here's the paradox: the more crimes Trump commits, the more disunited his opposition becomes. If Trump did shoot someone on 7th Avenue, not only would he get away with it, but the Dems would be tearing each other apart.
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4. Some thoughts on why the latest evidence of Trump's thuggery is dividing the opposition: https://www.thenation.com/article/trump-biden-whistleblower …
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Imagine if the GOP was to suddenly push for impeachment before the Dems, swiftly impeach him, then line up a new candidate for the next election. I think that would completely take any wind out of the sails of the Democrats.
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But no GOPer would dare lead such a putsch against Trump.
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I think she and her advisors believe they need maximum trumprage to encourage turnout in 2020, if they vote to impeach, people might get complacent "oh he's being impeached he'll be gone soon" It's the only reason I can think of that doesn't make them as cynically corrupt as him
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I personally think that this is about timing. Pelosi wants the senate to vote on conviction about July/August 2020 after it has become very obvious that Trump has a long trail of crimes in his wake.
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Dems can run on “we have a plan to introduce universal background checks (or any other substantive policy position) but it died in the Senate” a lot more easily than “we tried to impeach Trump but he got acquitted in the Senate.”
End of conversation
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They’re not going to preemptively buy in! If they’re not forced, they won’t do it!
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Also, it gives the GOP credit if they do come around to removing Donald Trump, because they were the ones making a decision to remove; Democrats will have just fallen in line.
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Politially, for Democrats, this situation would be unbelievably bad.
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