this goes both ways, in 2012 the RNC thought they had to do better with latino voters to win, it turns out they were able to pick up downscale white voters, and now democrats are picking up upscale white voters. https://twitter.com/mattyglesias/status/1159128182076923904 …
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I bet it would also have to do with their efforts at attracting outside employers to come to the state. If people are moving to your state because it's producing jobs, then you're not going to be able to stay that way.
End of conversation
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it's definitely both, but look at say, minnesota-3rd, which was republican from 1960 to 2018, and seems to have gotten more white since 2010 and Dem house vote share went from 43 to 55 from 16-18
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