HIllary Clinton had a base. Joe Biden does not. It's nowhere near the same thing.
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Trump is an incumbent. That comes with big advantages.
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Yeah I wonder how many of those advantages are tied up in "was really popular for at least part of their first term", though, since incumbents usually have been.
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You could put two homeless folks on the ticket, or two prostitutes, or Insane Clown Posse, and they'd be better than Trump. It's not so much an election as a repeat IQ test.
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Also Trump was largely a cipher in 2016, now he has an actual record.
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Maybe he’ll win by 5 million votes and still lose.
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They tried that in 2004. In the absence of scandals the other side will invent them. People even came up with a verb for that.
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