2. Element of truth here is that racism probably does help keep the GOP base together. It's a dominance politics move whereby people like McConnell and Graham have to defend Trump. When he's attacked, GOP voters do seem to rally to him. But GOP voters aren't whole electorate
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3. Trump's racism is polarizing rather than just good for him. There's every reason to think from recent elections (including 2016) that the Democrat's multi-racial coalition is larger than Trump's white nationalist coalition. Especially clear in post-2016 elections.
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4. Trumpian racism has in fact been on the ballot quite a bit. Remember Ed Gillespie ranting about MS-13 in Virginia. Trounced. Remember the migrant caravan & troops at the border in 2018? Result was a Democratic wave election.
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5. Trump's racism rallies the GOP, but anti-racism also rallies the Dems (getting even Pelosi to lay off the Squad). If the Dems stay united, they can defeat Trump's racism. A more detailed analysis here: https://www.thenation.com/article/trump-racism-2020/ …
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Does it gain him a single vote he wasn’t already getting? Seems doubtful.
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Agree. 2018 showed this.
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Pelosi does
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Sadly true.
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I believe there is concern that Trump is trying to bait Democrats into playing identity politics. If we get off topic and lose focus on economic and social issues that Americans most care about, Trump will have succeeded.
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I don't think Trump is being strategically racist ("If I tweet dog whistles and racist tropes, it will have XYZ effects..."). I think Trump is just being authentically racist and then reacting to what happens next.
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Exploiting the racial divisions of the United States, was a major tactic of the Russian’s attack. I see Trump’s racism as a secondary effect of a weapon of war.
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