1. It increasingly feels like Biden, if he's the Democratic nominee, will be Hilary Clinton 2.0, but worse. A campaign based on personal revulsion against Trump, nostalgia for normal politics, & outreach to moderate Republicans.https://twitter.com/nytimes/status/1124667509242777600 …
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6. The operating theory of the Democratic leadership seems to be that the problem in 2016 was Hillary Clinton was a woman, so if you run the same campaign against Trump with a male candidate (Biden), you'll win.
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7. Let's say Biden is the candidate & he runs (as he wants to do) a campaign aimed at suburban moderates. 2 questions: 1. can he beat Trump? (Yes, because Dem coalition will be super-mobilized by anti-Trump feelings) 2. Will victory be lasting? (No.)
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8. I have no trouble imagining Biden winning a reprise of 2016, with Obama coalition & weaker working class support offset by suburban moderates. But such a coalition seems unstable, unlikely to survive long without antipathy of Trump. Those moderates will edge back to GOP.
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9. The stuff Biden will say to win suburban Republicans will dampen enthusiasm among young & among working class, if not in 2020 then soon after in subsequent elections. And GOP will be able to run candidates who borrow Trump's politics without his personal failings.
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Uhm, suburban women gave Dems their massive wins in 2018. Hello.
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It sort of worked in 2018?!
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The people who elected an all-Dem House slate from Orange County? Why would we want those voters again?
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I'm pretty sure California is a safe state, but Dems need to win the mid-west.
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Pretty sure Pelosi is committed to making 2020 a rerun of 2018, and it's pretty weird that you're seemingly forgetting that 2018 happened.
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Weirdly he makes no mention of Sanders repeatedly begging for Trump voters’ support.
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