If Valadao is merely treading water in the other counties then
. Not that he's an underdog necessarily but would project to be verrrry close.
-
Show this thread
-
Nate Silver Retweeted AP Politics
ABC has not projected this race (CA-39) yet, but we're moving to Solid D on the basis of the AP call. Democrats won all the tossup races in California and might still pull off a big upset in CA-21 on top of that.https://twitter.com/AP_Politics/status/1063976184596373505 …
Nate Silver added,
15 replies 81 retweets 564 likesShow this thread -
Nate Silver Retweeted Nathaniel Rakich
FL-Sen moves to Solid R.https://twitter.com/baseballot/status/1064217576287494146 …
Nate Silver added,
12 replies 30 retweets 129 likesShow this thread -
Nate Silver Retweeted Nathaniel Rakich
Do note, however, that Nelson actually picked up a fair number of votes, and this is within the margin where bad ballot design in Broward Co. maybe cost him the election.https://twitter.com/baseballot/status/1064218140970807296 …
Nate Silver added,
36 replies 261 retweets 834 likesShow this thread -
Nate Silver Retweeted Robert Gehrke
Update on UT-4. The good news for Love (R) is that her lead has expanded. The bad news is that what's left to count is almost all from Democratic-leaning Salt Lake Co., and mostly provisional ballots at that.https://twitter.com/RobertGehrke/status/1064564268169752578 …
Nate Silver added,
4 replies 43 retweets 181 likesShow this thread -
Nate Silver Retweeted Robert Gehrke
This last batch of ballots actually wasn't especially great for Love, given that they came from very red Utah Co. Tends to confirms our view that this is a "Lean R" race, and not "Likely R".https://twitter.com/RobertGehrke/status/1064565024272789504 …
Nate Silver added,
Robert Gehrke @RobertGehrkeLove got 66 percent of the new Utah Co votes, ~8 percent worse than she had been doing. That tells us that, as expected, the same-day registrants were probably driven heavily by Prop 2. IF that holds in SLCo, McAdams has a good chance. It’s gonna be VERY close.#utpol https://twitter.com/RobertGehrke/status/1064564268169752578 …7 replies 21 retweets 132 likesShow this thread -
Nate Silver Retweeted Gina Ortiz Jones
Ortiz Jones (D) conceded to Hurd (R) in TX-23, which ABC News had called but AP hadn't; we're going to remove this from Likely R and treat it as called for the GOP. Hurd is a rare survivor in a Clinton district, though the race tightened a lot at the end.https://twitter.com/GinaOrtizJones/status/1064575408002162688 …
Nate Silver added,
Gina Ortiz JonesVerified account @GinaOrtizJonesOur campaign was based on the belief that everyone is equal - equally deserving to be heard at the ballot box and served in our communities. While we came up short this time, we ran a race of which we can be proud. Thank you,#TX23. pic.twitter.com/sMpDqbRCrr8 replies 32 retweets 167 likesShow this thread -
Democrats are currently at 38 pickups and have 4 remaining opportunities to pick up an additional seat or two. CA-21 (Valadao): We rate as a Tossup UT-4 (Love): Lean R GA-7 (Woodall): Likely R NY-27 (Collins): Likely R
22 replies 167 retweets 467 likesShow this thread -
-
That's the joke.
Loading seems to be taking a while.
Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.