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HeerJeet's profile
Jeet Heer
Jeet Heer
Jeet Heer
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@HeerJeet

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Jeet HeerVerified account

@HeerJeet

1. Writer, The Nation https://www.thenation.com/authors/jeet-heer/ … 2. email: jeetheer1967 at gmail dot com 3. Twitter essayist 4. Drawn by Joe Ollmann

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Joined June 2012

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    1. Nate Silver‏Verified account @NateSilver538 16 Nov 2018

      Nate Silver Retweeted CATargetBot

      This is another really bad report for Valadao (R). Kings Co. was supposed to be his stronghold. Only won the latest batch of ballots by ~3.5 points in a county he won by >30 in the election night count.https://twitter.com/CATargetBot/status/1063600667174924288 …

      Nate Silver added,

      CATargetBotVerified account @CATargetBot
      #CD21 Update pic.twitter.com/ugbGCIij5J
      8 replies 57 retweets 204 likes
      Show this thread
    2. Nate Silver‏Verified account @NateSilver538 16 Nov 2018

      The issue for Valadao (R) is that Kern Co. hasn't reported in a while, and we suspect there are about ~6K uncounted ballots there, which would net out to a 1,500-2,000 vote gain for Cox (D), almost erasing Valadao's current districtwide lead.

      9 replies 43 retweets 224 likes
      Show this thread
    3. Nate Silver‏Verified account @NateSilver538 16 Nov 2018

      If Valadao is merely treading water in the other counties then 😬. Not that he's an underdog necessarily but would project to be verrrry close.

      11 replies 17 retweets 214 likes
      Show this thread
    4. Nate Silver‏Verified account @NateSilver538 17 Nov 2018

      Nate Silver Retweeted AP Politics

      ABC has not projected this race (CA-39) yet, but we're moving to Solid D on the basis of the AP call. Democrats won all the tossup races in California and might still pull off a big upset in CA-21 on top of that.https://twitter.com/AP_Politics/status/1063976184596373505 …

      Nate Silver added,

      AP PoliticsVerified account @AP_Politics
      BREAKING: Democrat Gil Cisneros wins election to U.S. House in California's 39th congressional district. #APracecall at 6:03 p.m. PST. @AP election coverage: http://apne.ws/APPolitics  #Election2018 #CAelection
      15 replies 81 retweets 564 likes
      Show this thread
    5. Nate Silver‏Verified account @NateSilver538 18 Nov 2018

      Nate Silver Retweeted Nathaniel Rakich

      FL-Sen moves to Solid R.https://twitter.com/baseballot/status/1064217576287494146 …

      Nate Silver added,

      Nathaniel Rakich @baseballot
      Post-manual-recount #FLsen **official** election results: Rick Scott (R) defeats Bill Nelson (D) by 10,033 votes. pic.twitter.com/sVZYSUm3Bk
      12 replies 30 retweets 129 likes
      Show this thread
    6. Nate Silver‏Verified account @NateSilver538 18 Nov 2018

      Nate Silver Retweeted Nathaniel Rakich

      Do note, however, that Nelson actually picked up a fair number of votes, and this is within the margin where bad ballot design in Broward Co. maybe cost him the election.https://twitter.com/baseballot/status/1064218140970807296 …

      Nate Silver added,

      Nathaniel Rakich @baseballot
      The manual recount actually shifted the #FLsen margin by 2,570 votes, which is more than twice as many as the previous record recount shift this century. The fact that FL is a huge state helps, but that's certainly notable.
      36 replies 261 retweets 834 likes
      Show this thread
    7. Nate Silver‏Verified account @NateSilver538 19 Nov 2018

      Nate Silver Retweeted Robert Gehrke

      Update on UT-4. The good news for Love (R) is that her lead has expanded. The bad news is that what's left to count is almost all from Democratic-leaning Salt Lake Co., and mostly provisional ballots at that.https://twitter.com/RobertGehrke/status/1064564268169752578 …

      Nate Silver added,

      Robert Gehrke @RobertGehrke
      Yeah, so Mia Love’s lead is now at 1,516 votes and it appears Utah County is about done. (They reported ~16,600 votes, had said they had 16-17k left). So McAdams needs to get about 59 percent out of the remaining SLCo ballots to pull this out. #utpol
      4 replies 43 retweets 181 likes
      Show this thread
    8. Nate Silver‏Verified account @NateSilver538 19 Nov 2018

      Nate Silver Retweeted Robert Gehrke

      This last batch of ballots actually wasn't especially great for Love, given that they came from very red Utah Co. Tends to confirms our view that this is a "Lean R" race, and not "Likely R".https://twitter.com/RobertGehrke/status/1064565024272789504 …

      Nate Silver added,

      Robert Gehrke @RobertGehrke
      Love got 66 percent of the new Utah Co votes, ~8 percent worse than she had been doing. That tells us that, as expected, the same-day registrants were probably driven heavily by Prop 2. IF that holds in SLCo, McAdams has a good chance. It’s gonna be VERY close. #utpol https://twitter.com/RobertGehrke/status/1064564268169752578 …
      7 replies 21 retweets 132 likes
      Show this thread
    9. Nate Silver‏Verified account @NateSilver538 19 Nov 2018

      Nate Silver Retweeted Gina Ortiz Jones

      Ortiz Jones (D) conceded to Hurd (R) in TX-23, which ABC News had called but AP hadn't; we're going to remove this from Likely R and treat it as called for the GOP. Hurd is a rare survivor in a Clinton district, though the race tightened a lot at the end.https://twitter.com/GinaOrtizJones/status/1064575408002162688 …

      Nate Silver added,

      Gina Ortiz JonesVerified account @GinaOrtizJones
      Our campaign was based on the belief that everyone is equal - equally deserving to be heard at the ballot box and served in our communities. While we came up short this time, we ran a race of which we can be proud. Thank you, #TX23. pic.twitter.com/sMpDqbRCrr
      8 replies 32 retweets 167 likes
      Show this thread
    10. Nate Silver‏Verified account @NateSilver538 19 Nov 2018

      Democrats are currently at 38 pickups and have 4 remaining opportunities to pick up an additional seat or two. CA-21 (Valadao): We rate as a Tossup UT-4 (Love): Lean R GA-7 (Woodall): Likely R NY-27 (Collins): Likely R

      22 replies 167 retweets 467 likes
      Show this thread
      Jeet Heer‏Verified account @HeerJeet 19 Nov 2018
      Replying to @NateSilver538

      38 seats! Who could've predicted that!

      10:08 AM - 19 Nov 2018
      • 7 Retweets
      • 87 Likes
      • Matt psudonym Pino Calub 12StringRoofer No one Orange October, Blue November, Redhead Always 🇺🇦 30 to 50 Raccoons Jeremy Rosenberg Ben Landis
      3 replies 7 retweets 87 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Tyler Dinucci!!‏ @TylerDinucci 19 Nov 2018
          Replying to @HeerJeet @NateSilver538

          But was it a wave, Jeet?

          1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
        3. TrashPandaMario‏ @TrashPandaMario 19 Nov 2018
          Replying to @TylerDinucci @HeerJeet @NateSilver538

          Also, is Joe Flacco elite?

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        4. End of conversation
        1. New conversation
        2. Kylee Hench‏ @Shashakiro 19 Nov 2018
          Replying to @HeerJeet @NateSilver538

          ...Nate Silver?

          1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
        3. Jeet Heer‏Verified account @HeerJeet 19 Nov 2018
          Replying to @Shashakiro @NateSilver538

          That's the joke.

          0 replies 0 retweets 10 likes
        4. End of conversation
        1. Darren‏ @ThisCharminManc 19 Nov 2018
          Replying to @HeerJeet @NateSilver538

          @cenkuygur did. Looks like he got it bang on.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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