1. This Bret Stephens column has been dunked on by experts like @NateSilver538 but there's a little more to be said. https://www.nytimes.com/2018/11/08/opinion/midterm-results-2020-democrats.html …
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3. It's not just Dems won maybe 40 seats, 7 governorships & hundreds of down ballot races but also that in the places where they narrowly fell short there was gerrymandering and voter suppression (ahem, Georgia)
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4. If there was no gerrymandering & voter suppression, Dems would've picked up at a minimum another 6-10 seats. But does Stephens factor that in? No. But it gets worse.
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5. Here's the kicker: although he works now for the Times, Stephens made his name at the Wall Street Journal, which is the most influential publication around supporters voter suppression as a tactic.
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6. For years and years, Stephens worked alongside people like John Fund, leading advocates of cracking down on voting as a way of shoring up GOP power. Instead of bemoaning size of Dem wave, Stephens should reflect on his complicity in creating this mess.
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7. More thoughts on that column here: https://newrepublic.com/minutes/152175/bret-stephenss-dismissal-size-blue-election-overly-hasty …
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End of conversation
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Also, Dems had 194 seats (up from '14) after '16, while Reps had 178 after '08. Obviously if you drop off that hard, in a wave, you'll pick plenty up. It's plausible Dems will be at 235, while Reps were at 242 after '10
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Number of net seats won is the single dumbest metric in politics. It is all about final count. If Dem net 10 seats in 2020 it would be a dramatically better election than this current gain of 35+
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Yes, but.... He would never reflect on that. It’s not his way.
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