Republicans need a polling error to win the House. Fortunately for them, polling errors happen all the time. That's why they have a ~15-20% chance. https://53eig.ht/2RyJvu6
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Agreed. If there's a polling error, it's far more likely to favor the Democrats.
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You thinking of the Virginia Gubernatorial race specifically?
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All of the special elections to replace people Trump appointed to positions
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I thought you opposed gerrymandering!
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Polling errors have the tendency to swing back and forth who they favor. Maybe due to pollsters overcorrecting for errors made last time
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Do you have a sense of how much this has been accounted for in the polls?
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