4. The GOP is sticking to Trump because they believe (reasonably) that outcomes are more important than norms. Getting Supreme Court & tax cuts are enough to disregard norms (i.e. Trump's buffoonery, his thuggery or even Russian collusion).
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5. Going forward, the Russian investigation is worth pursuing because there should be penalty for the stuff Trump did. If the Dems win the house, they can also do more investigations & checking of Trump's corruption. But no matter what, GOP base will stick with Trump.
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6. The point of all this is that there's limited utility in trying to appeal to Trump's base or assuming GOP will soon de-Trumpize. Better path going forward is to organize & mobilize already existing anti-Trump majority.
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Replying to @HeerJeet
Jeet, I love your writing and respect you. But by your logic the GOP wasted who knows how much time and energy on Solyndra, Shirley Sherrod, Benghazi and email server investigations since 2009...yet flipped entire government without a single policy success during that same period
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Replying to @schaller67
I'm not saying the Russia investigation is a waste of time! It really looks like serious crimes were committed so it should be pursued & people should be punished. My point is just that it's not going to lead to a GOP crack-up.
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Replying to @HeerJeet
I don’t think the steady diet of Solyndra-Sherrod-Benghazi and so on led to a Dem crackup. But it mattered at the margins. Our evenly divided electorate is polarized and entrenched, sure; but it’s divided evenly enough that marginal effects have grand implications, no?
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Replying to @schaller67 @HeerJeet
Um, losing over 1000 seats and every federal branch of government wasn't a "crackup" to you? Fascinating.
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Seth, methinks you do miss my point. However one defines a subjective term like crack up (jeet used it; not my language) my point is that all those witch hunts *did* work, to the tune, as you correctly note, of 1k seats and all 3 branches.
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Replying to @schaller67 @HeerJeet
There is no parallel incentive structure for Dems to ever run on conspiracy-mongering though. That's not what Dem voters reward, nor is the Democratic party nearly as honest about its ideological valences (toward capitalism and actual conservatism) as the GOP is about its fascism
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A reasonable point, to be sure.
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To put it another way, the Dems aren't a revanchist party (the GOP is). Dems are a governing party. They'll do best running as one (with Russia scandal helping at margins to weaken GOP enthusiasm)
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Though i have others, my go-to response is simple: Kaiser FF polls consistently show GOPers approve 7/10 major provisions of the ACA. But they hate “Obamacare”. Why? They’re either insane or GOP shrewdly ruined Dems governing advantage...and not by offering better solutions.
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