Obviously something is a bit off with the numbers on the recent male vs. female celibacy graph, but I think Tinder really has changed things recently and the long-term trend is toward more male celibacy and less female celibacy.
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Replying to @HbdNrx
Kind of sad that so many people retweeted it without noticing that it was obviously wrong.
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Replying to @CapHoratius
I don't think it's "wrong" in a general sense so much as noisy.
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Replying to @HbdNrx
I get this. Possibly some increase in celibacy among young men recently. Seems reasonable.pic.twitter.com/victYxtRAj
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Replying to @CapHoratius @HbdNrx
Yeah, that was same as mine; I actually think it doesn't make sense to condition on marriage as Lyman did, but in any case he somehow lost a lot of data. I think there's a plateau for women and an increase for men.pic.twitter.com/vWr0pcer6d
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Replying to @toad_spotted @CapHoratius
I don't think he's wrong to look only at the never married group. That's the true incel population
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Replying to @HbdNrx @CapHoratius
Sure, but if there's is a general shift to non-marriage, and that reduces sex, then you're actually understating the change by conditioning. In any case, the never married/no sex women are either plateaued or increasingpic.twitter.com/kVsvH2vanM
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If there are some women who are both avoiding marriage and avoiding premarital sex, then that makes sense. However, I would think the effects of Tinder would overwhelm that small group
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