Catastrophic 1st wprld lifestyle loss is needed first imo
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Right. Is that going to happen any time soon?
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Most plausible scenario is a dollar crash imo, could happen if/when US is more and more unable to pay, until schelling point of faith loss occurs
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Not really seeing that happening soon. Maybe some other trigger first
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Soon? Absolutely not; however a few important things to note: -Pakistan has moved away from the USD to Yuan -China & Russia still undermining the USD -MENA/Central Asia geopolitical landscape almost paved for regional Sunni/Shia conflict (KSA & Iran, obv) 1/2
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2/3 -Potential for Euro Instability -Brexit's impact on the common market -V4 countries already angry, second refugee crisis could inspire them to leave (we're due for at least 2 more refugee crises in the near future) -PIGS crises & potential Italexit
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3/3 Aside from the potential catastrophe of Eurozone countries leaving the EU, which would almost certainly impact the dollar, there's loads of potential for "debt bombs" in America to blow up. Student loans are particularly worrisome.
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Cycles. Generations. 2020-2025. War/Postwar era over. Technology and economic power equilibrated. Traditional great powers. Europe in power vacuum. American fractured and obviously weak via underclass immigration. Navy one battle from extermination. Cold Civil War Turns Hot.
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Exactly how would war happen, though? I can't quite see it.
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All revolutions are unthinkable in prospect but deterministic in retrospect.A study of history shows that no empire has ever been so fragile. Empires fall sometimes in days (USSR), sometimes in weeks, rarely in months or years. Maidan taught me in person what history did in text.
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