I still believed this in early 2015. I also believes all other candidates would steal Trump's platform...
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Oh the parties reorient all the time. Most likely reorientation on this map: whites end up going in substantially higher percentage for Republicans
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If you look at democracy globally, 50-50 party systems are rare. Most multiracial democracies have parties mimicking demographic makeup
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This is just a basic result of the electoral system. I agree that the divisions will fall dominantly on racial lines, but there's always room for reorientation, eg the nonwhite party splits off the cucks, or Asians go for the white party, etc
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are you making an empirical claim?
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Sure, that in a first past the post winner take all voting system there will tend to form two parties that over time tend to average around 50% each See https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Duverger%27s_law …
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the evidence for Duverger's "law" is not very good, unfortunately. Even by the modest standards of poli sci
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I know this is supposedly "political science", but it's more of a natural result of the statistics of coalitions splitting and regrouping https://authors.library.caltech.edu/81155/
End of conversation
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Those demographics are changing faster than, say, WY
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