It's all over on Wednesday so unless you're a campaign manager deciding where to direct resources you shouldn't get excited period
I've seen people get excited about early voting stats before, only to be disappointed by final results. Polling is a better indicator.
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Well it's easy to get excited or discouraged early, and some people are playing things like predictit.
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You should be betting against the candidate you want to win, it's utterly simple and I can't understand why no gets that
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hmm, I don't know about that
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explain why?
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Let's say it's worth $100,000 to me for Trump to win. Even if a pro-Trump bet has a positive expected value, a hundred dollar bet is
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the equivalent of (-50100, +50100)... maybe I think the second outcome is more likely, but it has to be significantly more likely
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