Most hopeful sign re this election: polls can get accurate estimates of support by groups, but they have a harder time predicting turnout.
Most likely Trump supporters are more enthusiastic and more likely to vote, while Hillary supporters are less enthusiastic than Obama voters
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If it's true that turnout models from 2012 and 2008 are substantially off, most polling could be underestimating Trump's support.
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No way he gets more than 15%, imo. Still maybe better than Romney.
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