Most people are really, really, REALLY bad at understanding probabilities and even basic statistics.Even the most basic talk of distribution
They also have a really hard time incorporating personal observations and news reports into probabilities.
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A few news reports and people think things are massively more common than reality. Yet things get reported *because* they're uncommon.
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Even though every news story is man bites dog, it turns out that dog bites man is still far more common.
End of conversation
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