Some tech predictions: 1. We will not see true general-purpose AI near human level. No singularity. AI remains perpetually 20 years away.
@botminds we'll see. I think these are all pretty safe bets, with #4 perhaps the most likely to be wrong.
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@HbdNrx Given evidence, #1 is currently most likely to be wrong. Humans of the Gaps eh? With each passing year the gaps continue to shrink. -
@botminds There have been predictions since the 50s that AI was just around the corner. Nothing has worked out yet. -
@HbdNrx Yes,they overestimated. Chess,Go:vanished gaps.Speech,image captioning,LSTM lang models,program induction,autocars: gr8 progress all -
@botminds all of those are nice but nowhere near general purpose AI
End of conversation
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