The best move for polling analysts is always to say there's a 50/50 chance that either side wins. Then they can never be proven wrong.https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1033765572880867329 …
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I feel a little bad for him tbh because he came under a lot of pressure for even giving Trump that 30% chance. Nate Cohn did as he was told and gave him 4% and doesn't half as hard a time
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