Nuclear: worst situation since (at least) the end of the Cold War. Iran Deal + intermediate weapon treaties gone, modernisation + new destabilising tech (e.g. hypersonics, machine learning in early warning systems), proliferation in ME + Asia, and possible new Rus-US arms race
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Climate change: come on, you all listen to Greta. You might not know that lots of current climate modelling is *much* scarier (IPCC is conservative & has a few yrs delay). Likely effects: food+water insecurity, ecosystem failures, increased conflict, state failure, mass migration
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And there's a whole host of risks from new technologies: Information- and cyber-warfare Flash conflicts caused by AI Proliferation and democratisation of new biotech allowing small groups to create engineered pandemics
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I'm not saying "take it from me", or the Bulletin of Atomic Scientists. They're scientific experts, but they're just one group Read their argument and analyse the evidence for yourselfhttps://thebulletin.org/doomsday-clock/current-time/ …
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Or check out a range of arguments/evidence, handily gathered in my colleague
@Simon_Beard et al.'s 'An Analysis and Evaluation of Methods Currently Used to Quantify the Likelihood of Existential Hazards'https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0016328719303313 …Prikaži ovu nit -
This is a deadly serious topic and urgently requires attention - and action. As Mary Robinson and Ban Ki-Moon said today, it's time to wake up. [end]
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Wow this blew up! (let's hope the world doesn't) - it went somewhat viral! (let's hope the world doesn't) Check out my soundcloud! (really a podcast about climate change and existential risk)https://futureoflife.org/2019/08/01/fli-podcast-the-climate-crisis-as-an-existential-threat-with-simon-beard-and-haydn-belfield/?cn-reloaded=1 …
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