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SCOOP: Trump's South Africa ambassador, a successful handbag designer, forced out her top career diplomat at the embassy as she tried to elevate her son to a senior embassy post, officials tell me. Part of a trend of Trump envoys pushing out their #2'shttps://foreignpolicy.com/2020/02/05/us-embassies-abroad-trump-envoys-pushing-out-career-diplomats-deputy-chiefs-mission-south-africa-diplomacy-pompeo-lana-marks/ …
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Pelosi presser w/ Juan Guaido
https://twitter.com/alextdaugherty/status/1225524698601140225 …
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–––> As an aside, the substantive section on Wikileaks is almost entirely redacted. This could be (my speculation) due to the fact that Assange faces criminal prosecution for violating the Espionage Act.pic.twitter.com/DI62ajbFCp
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But in summation, the lack of a formal public response may have provided the perception in Moscow that continued election interference wouldn't carry a penalty. And (my reading) once Trump won the presidency, some of the more "forceful" responses may have gone out the window.
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Obama’s main priority, it appears, was protecting the 2016 election. That flowed through Jeh Johnson at DHS, who “had a conference call with representatives from al; 50 states, including secretaries of state or other senior election officials, on August 15, 2016.”
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Congress was also read in late. Some Democrats on the Gang of Eight were briefed in August––Schiff, Pelosi, and Harry Reid––but the rest of the group (Feinstein, Burr, Nunes, McConnell + Paul Ryan) were briefed on September 6, around the same time that Obama was chastising Putin.
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Rice said Obama characterized Putin's response as ... "dishonest and obfuscating, denying any Russian involvement, criticizing the United States for interfering in Russian electoral processes and fomenting Orange revolutions in their territory."
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Obama did confront Putin directly at the G20 summit in early September in Hangzhou, China, but kept his warning vague "in an effort to intimate that a range of diplomatic, economic, options were available to use in response to Russia," per Rice.
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The main policy responses were saved for AFTER the election, states the report. The expulsion of Russian diplomats occurred in December, for example, and Obama modified EO 13964 to authorize sanctions on individuals interfering in U.S. elections.
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Another major factor was that the economic penalties (aka sanctions) that were "discussed" could have hurt the Europeans. Rice said they wanted to "punish the Russians without losing the Europeans." Here's the relevant section:pic.twitter.com/fWluUmgF6H
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Here are some of the concerns from State, IC, and DoD. All were concerned about protecting their own "rice bowls" as the report statespic.twitter.com/1B7T99oRIS
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Officials were also worried about Russia's reaction, although the lack of a forceful response apparently didn't dissuade the GRU from probing election infrastructure in Florida, Georgia, and Iowa, and trying to fish election officials.pic.twitter.com/JtRxpYdCzO
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Several officials told the committee "that they felt constrained by worries that warning the American public would trigger the very thing they were trying to prevent: the public questioning the integrity of the election."
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McDonough noted that "Obama was traveling nearly every day in September and October 2016 in support of candidate Clinton. To emphasize the separation between politics and policy, the NSC "went out of [its] way to ensure that there was not a partisan veneer" to the work.
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Once the full extent of Russia’s interference began to emerge, officials were concerned that too strong of a public response could escalate the situation, and provoke political blowback in the context of Trump’s repeated assertions that that the election was “rigged.”pic.twitter.com/3Iiq6GEL1U
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In part, this meant the administration was handling the geopolitical and cyber aspects of relations with Russia separately, and that this “bifurcated” view of the threat limited the administration’s ability to respond.
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... Monaco, Avril Haines; Denis McDonough; Loretta Lynch; James Clapper; John Brennan; James Corney; Jeh Johnson; and NSA Director Admiral Michael Rogers. Top officials from State, Treasury, and the DoD were not invited to the "small group" meetings.
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Many senior administration officials, including Susan Rice, Lisa Monaco, and Michael Daniel, only learned about the DNC hack from news reports. A “small group” of senior policymakers was read-in initially, which included ...
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Big takeaways: Senior officials were slow to grasp the extent of the campaign, and “tempered” the U.S. response to avoid 1) Political blowback in Washington 2) New interference from Moscow 3) Undermining confidence in the prez election 4) Hurting ties w/ Europe
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THREAD: Here's a summary of the Senate's third report on election interference, which assessed the Obama Administration's response. The full document is online: https://www.intelligence.senate.gov/sites/default/files/documents/Report_Volume3.pdf …
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